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Bitcoin traders position for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts while about $4.5 billion in looming liquidity tests approach, setting up a delicate near-term backdrop for crypto markets in Asia hours. Lower policy rates can reprice risk and funding costs, with implications for leverage, basis trades, and demand for dollar liquidity. The anticipated tests span events that can pull or inject capital across spot and derivatives venues, probing order book depth and market-making capacity. Volatility sensitivity rises when macro expectations shift alongside concentrated flows, and positioning around these catalysts often drives abrupt intraday moves. Market participants monitor cross-asset signals, stablecoin activity, and futures curves to gauge whether liquidity absorbs or amplifies the incoming shocks.