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Kalshi’s event-based prediction markets handle about $1 billion in monthly activity as state regulators loom, situating the platform at the center of rising interest in trading outcomes tied to real-world events alongside heightened attention from policymakers. The scale underscores growing demand for this format while raising questions about market structure, consumer safeguards, and the boundary between permitted derivatives and gaming, with officials weighing how best to supervise contracts and venues at this level and any licensing, disclosures, or guardrails that may shape future participation.